Strategic Voting Guide

Make your vote count. Learn how preferential voting lets you support independents and minor parties without "wasting" your vote or accidentally helping candidates you oppose.

The #1 Thing to Know

You cannot waste your vote on a minor party or independent In SA's preferential voting system, if your first choice is eliminated, your vote automatically transfers to your next preference. Unlike the US or UK, voting for a "third party" doesn't split the vote or help the candidate you like least.

This is the most important strategic fact about Australian elections. You can safely vote 1 for any candidate—even one with no chance of winning—and your vote will still count toward determining the final winner through your preferences.

Common Myths Busted

Myth: "A vote for a minor party is a wasted vote"

Reality

Your vote transfers to your next preference if your first choice is eliminated. Every vote for a minor party also sends a message about voter priorities, even if that candidate doesn't win.

Myth: "I have to vote for a major party to influence the result"

Reality

Your later preferences determine who wins if it comes down to Labor vs Liberal. Put whoever you want first—your vote will flow to major parties when it matters.

Myth: "Preferencing a party last helps them"

Reality

Your vote only ever counts for ONE candidate at a time. Putting someone last means your vote would only reach them if literally everyone else was eliminated first—extremely unlikely.

Myth: "The independent can't win, so why bother?"

Reality

Independents have won multiple SA seats (MacKillop, Kavel, Mount Gambier). Strong first-preference results also influence future elections and show community support.

Strategies by Voter Type

What's your situation? Find the strategy that fits you.

Want to Support an Independent

You prefer a local independent over major parties

  1. Vote 1 for your independent candidate
  2. Vote 2, 3... for other minor parties or independents you like
  3. Then number the major party you prefer over the other
  4. Put last the major party (or candidate) you like least
Why this works: If the independent is eliminated, your vote flows to your preferred major party. You haven't "wasted" anything—you've voted your values AND influenced the final result.

Want to Support a Minor Party

You prefer Greens, One Nation, SA-Best, etc.

  1. Vote 1 for your preferred minor party candidate
  2. Vote 2, 3... for other aligned candidates
  3. Consider the "two-party preferred"—eventually it usually comes down to Labor vs Liberal
  4. Preference accordingly—put the major you prefer higher than the one you don't
In the Legislative Council: Minor parties have a real chance with just 8.3% of the vote. Your LC vote is where minor parties are most likely to gain a seat.

Want a Specific Major Party to Win

You really want Labor or Liberal to win your seat

  1. You can vote 1 for your preferred major party
  2. Or vote 1 for an aligned independent/minor party, then preference your major
  3. Put the opposing major party last (or near-last)
Consider: Voting 1 for an aligned candidate first sends a stronger message about your values while still ensuring your vote helps your preferred major party.

Undecided / Dislike All Options

You're not excited about anyone

  1. Find the candidate closest to your views—even if imperfect, vote 1 for them
  2. Rank everyone from "least bad" to "worst"
  3. Remember: You must number every box for a valid House of Assembly vote
  4. Your last preferences rarely matter—the count usually finishes before reaching them
Think of it as: Not "who do I want?" but "what order would I eliminate candidates if I could?" Put your "eliminate last" candidate as #1.

See It In Action: Preference Flow Simulator

Choose a scenario to see how different voting strategies play out in a realistic race.

District Scenario Simulator

Select a scenario and voting strategy to see the outcome

The Setup: A Competitive Three-Way Race

First preference results (before preferences distributed):

Labor 38%
Liberal 35%
Independent 20%
Greens 7%

Your vote: How would you preference?

How the count unfolds:

    The Setup: An Independent With Real Momentum

    First preference results (before preferences distributed):

    Independent 32%
    Liberal 31%
    Labor 28%
    Greens 9%

    Your vote: How would you preference?

    How the count unfolds:

      The Setup: A Knife-Edge Labor vs Liberal Battle

      First preference results (before preferences distributed):

      Labor 42%
      Liberal 41%
      Greens 12%
      One Nation 5%

      Your vote: How would you preference?

      How the count unfolds:

        Understanding Two-Party Preferred

        In most House of Assembly seats, the count eventually comes down to two candidates—usually Labor vs Liberal. This is called the "two-party preferred" (2PP) result.

        How Your Vote Flows to the Final Two

        Your vote starts
        1st
        Independent
        If eliminated, flows to
        2nd
        Greens
        If eliminated, flows to
        3rd
        Labor
        Only if all else eliminated
        4th
        Liberal

        In this example, if it comes down to Labor vs Liberal, your vote ends up counting for Labor (your 3rd preference) because they're your higher-ranked major party.

        Labor 52%
        Liberal 48%

        Example two-party preferred result after all preferences distributed

        The key strategic insight Your preferences between the final two candidates determine the winner. So even if you vote 1 for a minor party, make sure you've preferenced the major party you prefer ahead of the one you don't.

        SA Seats to Watch in 2026

        These seats have active independent or minor party challenges where strategic voting could matter.

        Flinders

        Currently: Sam Telfer (Liberal)

        Independent Meghan Petherick is mounting a serious challenge in this Eyre Peninsula seat. Regional issues like health services and infrastructure are key.

        Strategy: If you want the independent to win, vote 1 Independent. Your later preferences still count if she's eliminated.

        Kavel

        Currently: Dan Cregan (Independent, retiring)

        Open seat with no incumbent. Traditionally Liberal-leaning Adelaide Hills seat, but Cregan won as an independent. Multiple candidates expected.

        Strategy: Watch for an independent successor. This seat has shown it will elect non-major candidates.

        MacKillop

        Currently: Nick McBride (Independent)

        McBride left the Liberals in 2023 and will contest as an independent. The Liberals will run a candidate to win the seat back.

        Strategy: First preferences for McBride signal ongoing support for independent representation in regional SA.

        Mount Gambier

        Currently: Vacant (Troy Bell resigned)

        Open seat after Troy Bell's resignation. History of electing independents. Expect strong local candidates from multiple backgrounds.

        Strategy: Local profile matters here. Research candidates' community ties, not just party labels.

        Quick Reference: House vs Legislative Council Strategy

        Aspect House of Assembly Legislative Council
        Voting system Full preferential (number ALL boxes) Optional preferential (1+ above OR 12+ below)
        Threshold to win 50%+ of vote (after preferences) ~8.3% for one seat (quota)
        Minor party chances Low in most seats (need 50%+) Good (only need 8.3% statewide)
        Best strategy for minor parties Vote 1 for them; preferences flow to majors Vote 1 above the line, or rank below
        Where independents have won MacKillop, Kavel, Mount Gambier, Mawson Multiple crossbench seats held
        Key insight Your preferences determine who wins close races Minor parties can win seats with modest support

        Final Thoughts

        Vote for who you actually want Preferential voting exists so you can express your true preference without fear. Put your genuine first choice as #1, then order the rest by preference. The system handles the rest.

        The worst strategic mistake is voting against your true preference "to avoid wasting your vote." In Australia, that's never necessary. Vote your values first, and let preferences do their job.

        Find Your District